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Yelimay Semey 2 vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
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Match Events

60' Event
Iskakov D.
Assist: Krasotin A.
90' Event
Kushkumbayev D.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Yelimay Semey 2 and FC Ekibastuz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Yelimay Semey 2
20%
Draws
38%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yelimay Semey 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Ekibastuz come out ahead of Yelimay Semey 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yelimay Semey 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Iskakov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kushkumbayev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 40 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Yelimay Semey 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Yelimay Semey 2's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS FC Ekibastuz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
16 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
03 Jul
Arys
3 : 2
Yelimay Semey 2
25 Jun
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Turan
18 Jun
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
Page 1 of 3

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
18 Jun
Tobol 2
3 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417
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