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Yelimay Semey 2 vs Jaiyq

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
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Match Events

45' Event
Umbetov T.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Yelimay Semey 2 and Jaiyq finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaiyq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yelimay Semey 2
40%
Draws
29%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaiyq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Jaiyq
Matches Played 13 14
Wins 1 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Jaiyq
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbetov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 31 / 100
Jaiyq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Jaiyq

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaiyq let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Yelimay Semey 2's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Yelimay Semey 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Jaiyq
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276