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Yelimay Semey 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Sergazy M.
Assist: Levkovich V.

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
20%
Draws
80%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey 2 haven't matched Kairat Almaty 2's recent run of results.
  • Kairat Almaty 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 3 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.79 2.7
Goals Conceded 2.08 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:0
May 7, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergazy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Kairat Almaty 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey 2 scored in 54% of their last 24 outings.

Kairat Almaty 2 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Kairat Almaty 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Kairat Almaty 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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