Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadion Spartak

Alashkert

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey host Alashkert in the Conference League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alashkert have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Yelimay Semey have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Yelimay Semey have won 0 to Alashkert's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.52) point toward Alashkert. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Yelimay Semey

30%

Draws

34%

Alashkert

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Alashkert lately — more wins on the board than Yelimay Semey.
Win probability leans Yelimay Semey's way, sitting at 36%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 15%

Alashkert Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yelimay Semey	Alashkert
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 35 / 100

Alashkert 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yelimay Semey Alashkert

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alashkert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Yelimay Semey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Alashkert

1.38 Goals Scored 1.29

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.71

75% Over 1.5 57%

75% Over 2.5 29%

50% Over 3.5 29%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan3

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia5

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo5

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju1

Linfield0

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana0

FC Astana1

AF Elbasani1

BATE1

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva1

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.0

FC Ballkani0

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar1

Atletic Escaldes2

NSI Runavik1

Hamrun1

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen1

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo1

Inter Turku1

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS2

TBD-

Decic0

FK Liepaja1

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus1

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf1

Dinamo Tbilisi2

Petrovac1

Zalgiris3

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar1

Milsami1

Vikingur1

Stjarnan3

Differdange0

Ilves0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk0

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma1

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert1

Yelimay Semey1

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK3

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

TBD-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

TBD-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Europe

Yelimay Semey

Alashkert

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Prediction Engine Forecast

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Tournament Bracket & Draw