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Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Spartak, Semey
Yelimay Semey Logo

Yelimay Semey

0 - 2
FT
Kairat Almaty Logo

Kairat Almaty

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Tapalov E.
32' Event
Gual M.
Assist: Mata L.
35' Event
Mata L.
Assist: Gual M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Yelimay Semey
15%
Draws
51%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 15%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
2:3
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Gual M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mata L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 35 / 100
Kairat Almaty 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Kairat Almaty let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Yelimay Semey stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Kairat Almaty
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey

(Home)
10 Oct
Yelimay Semey
1 : 3
Aktobe
17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty

(Away)
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)