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Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey vs Kaspij Aktau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Berdibek D. In: Zulfikarov B.
Out: Berdibek D.
53'
Kabylan B.
55'
Morgado B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Yelimay Semey and Kaspij Aktau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Yelimay Semey
33%
Draws
27%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey haven't matched Kaspij Aktau's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Yelimay Semey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 18%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kaspij Aktau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kaspij Aktau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndombasi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 40 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey Kaspij Aktau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Yelimay Semey has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Kaspij Aktau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211