Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Spartak, Semey
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bahoken S.
20'
Sokolenko A.
30'
Sub
Bahoken S. In: Muldinov T.
Out: Bahoken S.

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yelimay Semey
6%
Draws
4%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyzylzhar haven't matched Yelimay Semey's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yelimay Semey a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Placca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 95 / 100
Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Kyzylzhar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Yelimay Semey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Kyzylzhar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey

(Home)
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Yelimay Semey
16 Jul
Yelimay Semey
2 : 3
Alashkert
09 Jul
Alashkert
1 : 1
Yelimay Semey
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey
27 Jun
Yelimay Semey
2 : 0
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Jul
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Tobol
04 Jul
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey
27 Jun
Yelimay Semey
2 : 0
Kyzylzhar
21 Jun
Kyzylzhar
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty
17 Jun
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy18134133:1343
2Kairat Almaty19126137:1342
3Okzhetpes1886424:2430
4FC Astana1785425:1929
5Aktobe1884626:2028
6Ulytau1876515:1627
7Yelimay Semey1775525:2226
8Zhenis1857615:2022
9Tobol1854920:2619
10Kaisar Kyzylorda19310614:2119
11Atyrau1739513:1618
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan1846821:2718
13Kaspij Aktau18531016:2318
14Kyzylzhar18441018:2616
15Altai1837814:2216
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)