Sport Picks
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Stadion Spartak, Semey 
Match Events
7'
7'
Zivanovic M.
Assist: Baltabekov A.
17'
17'
Placca F.
21'
21'
Murtazaev R.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu Taldykorgan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yelimay Semey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yelimay Semey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Yelimay Semey come out ahead of Zhetysu Taldykorgan on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Yelimay Semey's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Yelimay Semey here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 20%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yelimay Semey | Zhetysu Taldykorgan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Yelimay Semey
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Yelimay Semey
0:3
Oct 3, 2024 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Yelimay Semey
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yelimay Semey Compare
Top Goalscorer Placca F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murtazaev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare
Top Goalscorer Zivanovic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yelimay Semey 85 / 100
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yelimay Semey Zhetysu Taldykorgan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yelimay Semey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Zhetysu Taldykorgan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Zhetysu Taldykorgan lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yelimay Semey VS Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Yelimay Semey
(Home) 10 Oct
Yelimay Semey
1 : 3 Aktobe
17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Yelimay Semey
1 : 3 Aktobe
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
09 Aug
Yelimay Semey
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar
26 Jul
Yelimay Semey
1 : 1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
(Away) 10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
01 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52:20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35:36 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 14 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26:45 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
