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Yelimay Semey W vs Shakhter Karagandy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kurmanbekova A.

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Yelimay Semey W
15%
Draws
45%
Shakhter Karagandy W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yelimay Semey W lately — more wins on the board than Shakhter Karagandy W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 16%
Shakhter Karagandy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey W Shakhter Karagandy W
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 18 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.34 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Shakhter Karagandy W
0:1
Apr 28, 2026 League Women
Shakhter Karagandy W vs Yelimay Semey W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Shakhter Karagandy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurmanbekova A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey W 30 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey W Shakhter Karagandy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yelimay Semey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Yelimay Semey W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Shakhter Karagandy W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 18 matches.

Yelimay Semey W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey W VS Shakhter Karagandy W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey W

(Home)
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1
Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2
Zhenis Astana W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0
FC Astana W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 7

Shakhter Karagandy W

(Away)
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1
Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0
Tobol W
25 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
0 : 0
Altai W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Aktobe W
5 : 0
Shakhter Karagandy W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)