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Yelimay Semey W vs Tobol W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Osipova P.
Assist: Kompaniets D.
85'
Sundetbaeva G.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Yelimay Semey W and Tobol W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tobol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yelimay Semey W
6%
Draws
4%
Tobol W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yelimay Semey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tobol W haven't matched Yelimay Semey W's recent run of results.
  • Yelimay Semey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yelimay Semey W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 16%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey W Tobol W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Tobol W
0:1
Sep 8, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Tobol W
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Yelimay Semey W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipova P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey W 84 / 100
Tobol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey W Tobol W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tobol W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Yelimay Semey W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey W VS Tobol W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451