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Yelimay Semey W vs Zhenis Astana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mamyrova A.
52' Event
Kulmagambetova K.
76' Event
Aitymova A.
Assist: Kulmagambetova K.

AI Match Summary

Zhenis Astana W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Yelimay Semey W
15%
Draws
42%
Zhenis Astana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yelimay Semey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Zhenis Astana W have won more games recently than Yelimay Semey W.
  • Model gives Yelimay Semey W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zhenis Astana W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 10%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey W Zhenis Astana W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 18 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.34 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Zhenis Astana W
1:2
Jul 27, 2026 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
2:2
Jul 7, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Zhenis Astana W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamyrova A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zhenis Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulmagambetova K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aitymova A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey W 83 / 100
Zhenis Astana W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey W Zhenis Astana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yelimay Semey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Zhenis Astana W let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Yelimay Semey W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey W VS Zhenis Astana W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey W

(Home)
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1
Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2
Zhenis Astana W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0
FC Astana W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 7

Zhenis Astana W

(Away)
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2
Aktobe W
14 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
5 : 0
Zhenis Astana W
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2
Zhenis Astana W
25 Aug
Okzhetpes W
1 : 4
Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)