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Yemen vs Saudi Arabia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 Jaber Al Mubarak Stadium, Kuwait
Yemen Logo

Yemen

2 - 3
FT
Saudi Arabia Logo

Saudi Arabia

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Al Zubaidi H.
Assist: Al Matari A.
27' Event
Sabarah A. M.
30' Event
Kanno M.
Assist: Al Juwayr M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Saudi Arabia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Yemen
15%
Draws
45%
Saudi Arabia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Yemen haven't matched Saudi Arabia's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Saudi Arabia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saudi Arabia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Yemen Clean Sheet 19%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yemen Saudi Arabia
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 25, 2024 Arabian Gulf Cup
Yemen vs Saudi Arabia
2:3
Jan 6, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Yemen vs Saudi Arabia
0:2
Jun 5, 2021 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Yemen
3:0
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Yemen vs Saudi Arabia
2:2
Nov 16, 2018 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia vs Yemen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yemen Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Zubaidi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabarah A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hamdan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yemen 32 / 100
Saudi Arabia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yemen Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Yemen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Yemen scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Yemen VS Saudi Arabia
1.8 Goals Scored 0.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yemen

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
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Saudi Arabia

(Away)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Kuwait 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 United Arab Emirates 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Qatar 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Iraq 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Yemen 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)