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World Championship 2026 Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

United Arab Emirates

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yemen play United Arab Emirates in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yemen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. United Arab Emirates averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Yemen won 0, United Arab Emirates won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.02 for Yemen and 1.42 for United Arab Emirates. This points to a United Arab Emirates double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Yemen

18%

Draws

53%

United Arab Emirates

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Yemen picked up more points recently compared to United Arab Emirates.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.02 vs 1.42 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Yemen Clean Sheet 17%

United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yemen	United Arab Emirates
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	13
Draws	7	8
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.45	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	4.80	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.20	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 World Championship

Yemen vs United Arab Emirates

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Mar 21, 2024 World Championship

United Arab Emirates vs Yemen

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Nov 26, 2019 Arabian Gulf Cup

United Arab Emirates vs Yemen

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International

United Arab Emirates vs Yemen

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Dec 29, 2012 Friendly International

United Arab Emirates vs Yemen

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yemen Compare

Avg xG / game 3.69

Avg xA / game 2.4

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Adil S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yemen 30 / 100

United Arab Emirates 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yemen United Arab Emirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (2)

Secondary Pick United Arab Emirates & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yemen attacking → ← attacking United Arab Emirates

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yemen scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

United Arab Emirates let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Yemen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

United Arab Emirates lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 47

4.80 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar	6	5	1	0	18:3	16
2	Kuwait	6	2	1	3	6:6	7
3	Afghanistan	6	1	2	3	3:14	5
4	India	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan	6	6	0	0	24:0	18
2	North Korea	6	3	0	3	11:7	9
3	Syria	6	2	1	3	9:12	7
4	Myanmar	6	0	1	5	3:28	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea	6	5	1	0	20:1	16
2	China	6	2	2	2	9:9	8
3	Thailand	6	2	2	2	9:9	8
4	Singapore	6	0	1	5	5:24	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman	6	4	1	1	11:2	13
2	Kyrgyzstan	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	Malaysia	6	3	1	2	9:9	10
4	Chinese Taipei	6	0	0	6	2:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran	6	4	2	0	16:4	14
2	Uzbekistan	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
3	Turkmenistan	6	0	2	4	4:14	2
4	Hong Kong	6	0	2	4	4:15	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq	6	6	0	0	17:2	18
2	Indonesia	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
3	Vietnam	6	2	0	4	6:10	6
4	Philippines	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
2	Saudi Arabia	6	4	1	1	12:3	13
3	Tajikistan	6	2	2	2	11:7	8
4	Pakistan	6	0	0	6	1:26	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Bahrain	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
3	Yemen	6	1	2	3	5:9	5
4	Nepal	6	0	1	5	2:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia	6	6	0	0	22:0	18
2	Palestine	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
3	Lebanon	6	1	3	2	5:8	6
4	Bangladesh	6	0	1	5	1:20	1