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Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karakopru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
0 - 3
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yeni Malatyaspor host Karakopru in the 3. Lig Group 3. Karakopru are expected to control this from the start. Yeni Malatyaspor have averaged 0 scored and 2.7 conceded recently, against Karakopru's 1.76 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Yeni Malatyaspor have won 0 to Karakopru's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 2.50, favoring Karakopru. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
15%
Draws
85%
Karakopru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karakopru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karakopru come out ahead of Yeni Malatyaspor on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Karakopru taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Karakopru Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeni Malatyaspor Karakopru
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 29 8
Goals Scored 0 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Karakopru
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
Karakopru 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeni Malatyaspor Karakopru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karakopru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karakopru let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Yeni Malatyaspor's goal record stands at 0% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Malatyaspor VS Karakopru
0 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeni Malatyaspor

(Home)
11 Oct
Malatya
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
03 Oct
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Karakopru
27 Sept
Adana Adaletgucu
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
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Karakopru

(Away)
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Karakopru
26 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 0
Yozgat
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1
Osmaniyespor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)