Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026

Aliaga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu host Aliaga in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. This has Aliaga written all over it on paper. Aliaga have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have conceded 2.25 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have won 0 to Aliaga's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 2.63) point toward Aliaga. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Draws

90%

Aliaga

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu on wins alone.
Win probability leans Aliaga's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%

Aliaga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	Aliaga
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	4	19
Draws	3	7
Losses	22	8
Goals Scored	0	3
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Aliaga

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Oct 25, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Aliaga vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 10 / 100

Aliaga 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Aliaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu found the back of the net in 28% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Aliaga registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu VS Aliaga

0 Goals Scored 3

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52