Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Bucak Belediyesi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bilgin A. Y.
22' Event
Bostanci A.
38' Event
Agca R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
15%
Draws
17%
Bucak Belediyesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Bucak Belediyesi are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 11%
Bucak Belediyesi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Bucak Belediyesi
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 6 6
Draws 1 0
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.10 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Turkish Cup
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Bucak Belediyesi
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilgin A. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agca R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.38
Avg xA / game 1.55

Bucak Belediyesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bostanci A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 83 / 100
Bucak Belediyesi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Bucak Belediyesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucak Belediyesi let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bucak Belediyesi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu VS Bucak Belediyesi
0 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Home)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
Page 1 of 6

Bucak Belediyesi

(Away)
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
03 Sept
Bucak Belediyesi
1 : 2
Kepez Bld.
09 Oct
Amasyaspor
4 : 0
Bucak Belediyesi
11 Sept
Bucak Belediyesi
1 : 0
Denizlispor
29 Aug
Karaman FK
1 : 0
Bucak Belediyesi
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gemlikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
TBD -
Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
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Golcukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
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Soma Spor -
TBD -
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Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Adana Adaletgucu -
TBD -
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
TBD -
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Silifke -
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Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
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Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
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Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
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TBD -
Malatya -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
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Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
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Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
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52 Orduspor -
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