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Stadium Background

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mese K.
(Penalty)
37'
Celik M.
37'
Bilgen B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu and Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
15%
Draws
7%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 18%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
4:0
Oct 14, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:0
Mar 10, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Isik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Top Goalscorer Cokyasar H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 85 / 100
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu VS Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Home)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
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Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

(Away)
03 Oct
Agri 1970
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Erciyes 38 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
3 Bitlis 1916 6 5 0 1 15:3 15
4 Nigde 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
5 Karakopru 6 5 0 1 13:4 15
6 Mazidagi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
7 Kirsehir SK 6 4 1 1 19:4 13
8 Agri 1970 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
9 Kirikkale FK 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
10 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Osmaniyespor 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
12 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 6 2 0 4 5:10 6
13 Karaman FK 6 2 0 4 6:15 6
14 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
15 Yozgat 6 1 1 4 3:18 4
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 6 0 1 5 4:11 1
17 Adanaspor AS 6 0 0 6 4:26 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)