Sport Picks
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk 
Match Events
23'
23'
Maslovskiy A.
28'
28'
Khashkulov A.
(Penalty)
44'
44'
Batyrev A.
AI Match Summary
Yenisey in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yenisey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yenisey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yenisey lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Tula.
- Win probability leans Yenisey's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yenisey | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
3:1
May 11, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Aug 5, 2024 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Yenisey
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yenisey 59 / 100
Arsenal Tula 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yenisey Arsenal Tula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yenisey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Yenisey scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Yenisey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yenisey VS Arsenal Tula
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yenisey
(Home) 16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0 Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2 Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2 Neftekhimik
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
15 Aug
Yenisey
2 : 2 Kamaz
08 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Tula
(Away) 16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 Ural
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
15 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
