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Yenisey vs Rodina Moscow

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Club Friendly encounter between Yenisey and Rodina Moscow promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Yenisey averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Rodina Moscow shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Yenisey, 1 wins for Rodina Moscow, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.02.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Yenisey and 0.81 for Rodina Moscow, suggesting the primary value lies in the Yenisey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Yenisey
35%
Draws
30%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yenisey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Yenisey picked up more points recently compared to Rodina Moscow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 26%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

08.02.26 Club Friendly
Yenisey vs Rodina Moscow
3:1
23.11.25 FNL
Yenisey vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
07.09.25 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Yenisey
2:0
08.03.25 FNL
Yenisey vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
12.10.24 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Yenisey
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Yenisey

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Rodina Moscow

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 37 / 100
Rodina Moscow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Rodina Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yenisey or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Yenisey 39%
Rodina Moscow 24%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Yenisey 33%
Rodina Moscow 32%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Yenisey 35%
Rodina Moscow 30%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Yenisey 37%
Rodina Moscow 29%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Yenisey 32%
Rodina Moscow 33%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Yenisey 40%
Rodina Moscow 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yenisey attacking → ← attacking Rodina Moscow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yenisey have found the net in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Rodina Moscow have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.

Yenisey remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Rodina Moscow suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Friendly match context where both Yenisey and Rodina Moscow will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 46
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13