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Yenisey vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Golubev A.
46'
Sub
Tses Y. In: Balakhonov M.
Out: Tses Y.
60'
Sub
Kokoev D. In: Batyrev A.
Out: Kokoev D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yenisey
30%
Draws
37%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Yenisey have won more games recently than Shinnik Yaroslavl.
  • Win probability leans Shinnik Yaroslavl's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 16%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 15
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Yenisey
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Yenisey
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 15 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Shinnik Yaroslavl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yenisey's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Yenisey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shinnik Yaroslavl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Yenisey VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yenisey

(Home)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
Page 1 of 6

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Away)
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)