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Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yenisey host Torpedo Moscow in the FNL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Yenisey at 1.55 goals for, 1.1 against; Torpedo Moscow at 1.68 for, 0.71 against. Past meetings favor Torpedo Moscow slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.69, favoring Torpedo Moscow. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Yenisey
30%
Draws
29%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yenisey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Torpedo Moscow have won more games recently than Yenisey.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Torpedo Moscow have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 13%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Torpedo Moscow
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 31 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Torpedo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yenisey scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Yenisey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Torpedo Moscow let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Yenisey VS Torpedo Moscow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yenisey

(Home)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
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Torpedo Moscow

(Away)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)