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Stadium Background

Yenisey vs Veles Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Okladnikov A.
(Penalty)
11'
Smirnov O.
27' Event
Okladnikov A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Yenisey in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yenisey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Yenisey
20%
Draws
29%
Veles Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yenisey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Veles Moscow haven't matched Yenisey's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Veles Moscow a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Yenisey here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 13%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Veles Moscow
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Veles Moscow
4:1
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Yenisey vs Veles Moscow
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Yenisey
2:0
Aug 6, 2022 FNL
Yenisey vs Veles Moscow
2:1
May 21, 2022 FNL
Yenisey vs Veles Moscow
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadolskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lomakin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Veles Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 27 / 100
Veles Moscow 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Veles Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veles Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Yenisey scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Veles Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Yenisey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yenisey VS Veles Moscow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yenisey

(Home)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
Page 1 of 6

Veles Moscow

(Away)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)