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Yeoju Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Choi Y.
35' Event
Jang Han-young
39' Event
Lee Hyeon-Tak

AI Match Summary

Yeoju Citizen play Mokpo in the K3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yeoju Citizen averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Mokpo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Yeoju Citizen won 4, Mokpo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Yeoju Citizen and 0.88 for Mokpo. This points to a Yeoju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Yeoju Citizen
39%
Draws
31%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Yeoju Citizen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mokpo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K3 League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Mokpo
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Yeoju Citizen
0:3
Mar 16, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Korean Cup
Yeoju Citizen vs Mokpo
4:3
Jun 29, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Yeoju Citizen
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Min-Jae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jang Han-young
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Hyeon-Tak
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 41 / 100
Mokpo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Mokpo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mokpo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Yeoju Citizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mokpo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Mokpo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409