Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yesil Bursa vs Kirikhanspor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yesil Bursa play Kirikhanspor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Kirikhanspor averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Yesil Bursa won 2, Kirikhanspor won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2018 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Yesil Bursa and 1.75 for Kirikhanspor. This points to a Kirikhanspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Yesil Bursa
16%
Draws
49%
Kirikhanspor
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Kirikhanspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Yesil Bursa picked up more points recently compared to Kirikhanspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 12%
Kirikhanspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Bursa Kirikhanspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Kirikhanspor
1:2
Sep 16, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikhanspor vs Yesil Bursa
0:0
Apr 9, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Kirikhanspor
4:1
Nov 27, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikhanspor vs Yesil Bursa
1:0
Apr 24, 2016 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Bursa vs Kirikhanspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesekoparan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kirikhanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcanli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 34 / 100
Kirikhanspor 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Bursa Kirikhanspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kirikhanspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yesil Bursa attacking → ← attacking Kirikhanspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Bursa scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Kirikhanspor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yesil Bursa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kirikhanspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 25
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Darica Genclerbirligi34219464:1872
2Ankara Demirspor34225760:3171
3Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)34197863:4064
4Bucaspor 1928341613552:2861
524Erzincanspor341710753:3061
6Pazarspor341610847:3658
752 Orduspor341510952:3355
8Beykoz Ishakli Spor341471347:4849
9Vanspor FK341471356:4749
10Turgutlu341451546:4747
11Golcukspor341381356:4947
12Erokspor341371442:3746
13Muglaspor341181536:3641
141461 Trabzon341151851:5438
15Ergene Velimese348131338:4337
16Kirikhanspor34762128:5527
17Yesil Bursa34572224:5522
18Kayseri Erciyesspor34033117:145-6