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Yesil Yalova FK vs 1926 Polatli Belediye Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Yesilyurt A.
34' Event
Ekinci C.
Assist: Ozdemir E. C.
50' Event
Bilim E.
Assist: Fidan S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Yesil Yalova FK and 1926 Polatli Belediye finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1926 Polatli Belediye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Yesil Yalova FK
20%
Draws
51%
1926 Polatli Belediye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1926 Polatli Belediye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 1926 Polatli Belediye come out ahead of Yesil Yalova FK on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Yesil Yalova FK Clean Sheet 13%
1926 Polatli Belediye Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Yalova FK 1926 Polatli Belediye
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.21 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Yalova FK vs 1926 Polatli Belediye
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
1926 Polatli Belediye vs Yesil Yalova FK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Yalova FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilim E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

1926 Polatli Belediye Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekinci C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guner G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Yalova FK 31 / 100
1926 Polatli Belediye 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Yalova FK 1926 Polatli Belediye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1926 Polatli Belediye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1926 Polatli Belediye conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Yesil Yalova FK scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Yesil Yalova FK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yesil Yalova FK VS 1926 Polatli Belediye
0.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Yesil Yalova FK

(Home)
03 Oct
Yesil Yalova FK
2 : 4
Bulvarspor
27 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
20 Sept
Yesil Yalova FK
3 : 3
Golcukspor
16 Sept
Galata Spor Kulubu
2 : 1
Yesil Yalova FK
12 Sept
Buyukcekmece Gucu
1 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

1926 Polatli Belediye

(Away)
18 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 2
Silivrispor
12 Apr
Bulvarspor
1 : 4
1926 Polatli Belediye
05 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
1 : 4
Kucukcekmece
28 Mar
Yesil Yalova FK
1 : 2
1926 Polatli Belediye
24 Mar
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)