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Yessentuki vs Mashuk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Tsakoev Z.
46'
Sub
Abdulaev A. In: Abdurazakov S.
Out: Abdulaev A.
68'
Aimetdinov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between Yessentuki and Mashuk finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mashuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yessentuki
20%
Draws
80%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Mashuk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mashuk a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mashuk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 17%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yessentuki Mashuk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 3 17
Losses 26 5
Goals Scored 0.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.07 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Mashuk
0:3
Sep 25, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
2:0
Jul 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
1:1
Oct 27, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Yessentuki
7:0
Aug 6, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Mashuk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsakoev Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aimetdinov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yessentuki 10 / 100
Mashuk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yessentuki Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Yessentuki's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mashuk conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Mashuk's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mashuk
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yessentuki

(Home)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Mashuk

(Away)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)