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Ylivieska vs RoPS Rovaniemi

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Safari TN - artificial grass
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ylivieska play RoPS Rovaniemi in the Suomen Cup. RoPS Rovaniemi are favorites here. Recently, Ylivieska averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. RoPS Rovaniemi averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Ylivieska won 0, RoPS Rovaniemi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Ylivieska and 1.94 for RoPS Rovaniemi. This points to a RoPS Rovaniemi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ylivieska
25%
Draws
60%
RoPS Rovaniemi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: RoPS Rovaniemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ylivieska picked up more points recently compared to RoPS Rovaniemi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Ylivieska Clean Sheet 10%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ylivieska RoPS Rovaniemi
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Suomen Cup
Ylivieska vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ylivieska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontiokoski E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ylivieska 16 / 100
RoPS Rovaniemi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ylivieska RoPS Rovaniemi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RoPS Rovaniemi Win (2)
Secondary Pick RoPS Rovaniemi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ylivieska attacking → ← attacking RoPS Rovaniemi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ylivieska scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ylivieska went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75