Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ymir vs KV Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2018
Thu, Apr 12, 2018
2 - 5
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Briem B.
16' Event
Sigurdsson V.
27' Event
Kjartansson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with KV Reykjavik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ymir
15%
Draws
42%
KV Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ymir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ymir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ymir a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Ymir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KV Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ymir Clean Sheet 10%
KV Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ymir KV Reykjavik
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 2.74 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.04 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Ymir vs KV Reykjavik
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ymir Compare

Top Goalscorer Briem B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kjartansson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

KV Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Omarsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ymir 83 / 100
KV Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ymir KV Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ymir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KV Reykjavik has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ymir scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: KV Reykjavik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ymir VS KV Reykjavik
5.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ymir

(Home)
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1
Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0
Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1
Ymir
Page 1 of 6

KV Reykjavik

(Away)
26 Mar
Fylkir
6 : 0
KV Reykjavik
20 Mar
KV Reykjavik
5 : 0
KB Breidholt
16 Jul
KV Reykjavik
1 : 2
Hottur / Huginn
05 Apr
KV Reykjavik
1 : 6
Fylkir
29 Mar
Aegir
2 : 3
KV Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 10
KB Breidholt 1
Stokkseyri -
Kordrengir -
Vaengirs 3
Hviti 2
TBD -
Throttur -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 6
Nokkvi 0
TBD -
Magni -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Alftanes 9
Dalvik/Reynir 2
UMF Geisli 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
Snaefell 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Grotta 9
Vatnaliljur 0
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 6
KFS 2
SR Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri 18
Kongarnir 2
TBD -
Haukar -
IR Reykjavik 1
Aegir 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Augnablik 17
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kria 2
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Afturelding 6
KFR 1
Ymir 2
KV Reykjavik 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Sindri 2
Einherji 5
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Stal-Ulfur 0
Berserkir 1
Reynir 5
Hottur 1
Fjardabyggd 0
TBD -
Huginn -
Ellidi 4
Midas 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Kari 13
Fram 6
Armann 0
Alafoss 1
GG Grindavik 5
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
Hamar 1
Arborg 0
Ulfarnir 0
Lettir 1
KFG Gardabaer 5
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Olafsvik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 2
Kordrengir 0
Vaengirs 0
Throttur 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 5
Kopavogur 5
Alftanes 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Grotta 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 2
Throttur Vogar 1
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Vestri 1
Haukar 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Afturelding 8
KV Reykjavik 2
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 0
Einherji 1
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 0
Reynir 9
Hottur 3
Huginn 0
Ellidi 1
Kari 9
Fram 10
GG Grindavik 0
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 7
Hamar 1
Lettir 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Olafsvik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 2
Fylkir 1
Njardvik 2
Throttur 4
Fjolnir 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 4
Selfoss 1
Vidir 2
Grindavik 4
KA Akureyri 2
Haukar 1
IR Reykjavik 0
Hafnarfjordur 5
Breidablik 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 1
KR Reykjavik 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Einherji 2
Keflavik 0
Valur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Reynir 0
Hottur 2
Kari 5
Fram 2
Volsungur 1
Hamar 3
Olafsvik 5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 5
Throttur 0
Fjolnir 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 1
KR Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Kari 3
Fram 0
Olafsvik 1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 2
Thor Akureyri 1
Akranes 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 2
Valur 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 2
Hafnarfjordur 0
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 2
Final
Stjarnan 1
Breidablik 0