Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Asmundsson H.
22'
22'
Morina A.
27'
27'
Morina A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 11-0, with Ymir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ymir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ymir come out ahead of Thorlakur on wins alone.
- Model gives Ymir a 85% chance of winning this.
- Ymir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ymir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ymir Clean Sheet 14%
Thorlakur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ymir | Thorlakur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 3 |
| Wins | 9 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 18 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.74 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.04 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Ymir vs Thorlakur
11:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ymir Compare
Top Goalscorer Morina A.
4 Goals Assists Leader Saebjornsson E.
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56
Thorlakur Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ymir 84 / 100
Thorlakur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ymir Thorlakur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ymir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thorlakur let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.
H2H data points to 11.00 goals as a typical output.
Ymir's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Away concern: Thorlakur has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ymir VS Thorlakur
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
2.88 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Ymir
(Home) 04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0 Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1 Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0 KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0 Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1 Ymir
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0 KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0 Falkar
28 Mar
Ymir
3 : 4 Hafnir
04 Apr
Ymir
11 : 0 Thorlakur
01 Apr
Ymir
1 : 2 KFS
Page 1 of 3
Thorlakur
(Away) 21 Mar
KFS
: Thorlakur
29 Mar
Arbaer
4 : 1 Thorlakur
04 Apr
Ymir
11 : 0 Thorlakur
21 Mar
KFS
: Thorlakur
29 Mar
Arbaer
4 : 1 Thorlakur
04 Apr
Ymir
11 : 0 Thorlakur
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2
