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Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Haig J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Ynyshir Albions and Cardiff Draconians finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ynyshir Albions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ynyshir Albions
35%
Draws
31%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff Draconians come out ahead of Ynyshir Albions on wins alone.
  • Ynyshir Albions are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians
1:0
Mar 24, 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Haig J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cardiff Draconians Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 58 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Draconians conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ynyshir Albions found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Cardiff Draconians
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
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