Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Salter C.
6'
6'
Jenkins T.
7'
7'
Williams D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ynyshir Albions come out ahead of Llanelli on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ynyshir Albions's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ynyshir Albions have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Llanelli, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Llanelli have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ynyshir Albions | Llanelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Ynyshir Albions vs Llanelli
1:4
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llanelli
2:7
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Ynyshir Albions
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ynyshir Albions Compare
Top Goalscorer Salter C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Llanelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jenkins T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ynyshir Albions 85 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ynyshir Albions Llanelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanelli let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Llanelli registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ynyshir Albions VS Llanelli
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ynyshir Albions
(Home) 12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
28 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
2 : 2 Trethomas Bluebirds
14 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
4 : 0 Newport City
28 Feb
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Treowen
Page 1 of 3
Llanelli
(Away) 11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
