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Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions host Llantwit Major in the Cymru South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Llantwit Major have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Ynyshir Albions have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Ynyshir Albions have won 1 to Llantwit Major's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.44) point toward Llantwit Major. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ynyshir Albions
20%
Draws
23%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Llantwit Major average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Ynyshir Albions's 1.28.
  • Win probability leans Ynyshir Albions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Llantwit Major have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 16%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Llantwit Major
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Ynyshir Albions
2:1
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
3:1
Oct 1, 2022 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Ynyshir Albions
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 84 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llantwit Major let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ynyshir Albions found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Llantwit Major
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
31 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
4 : 2
Pure Swansea
16 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
4 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

Llantwit Major

(Away)
31 Oct
Llantwit Major
2 : 3
Newport City
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 12 7 3 2 32:21 24
2 Aberystwyth 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Caerau Ely 12 7 1 4 23:20 22
4 Pure Swansea 10 6 3 1 32:15 21
5 Ynyshir Albions 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
6 Baglan Dragons 12 5 2 5 12:13 17
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 12 4 4 4 24:21 16
8 Treowen 11 5 1 5 20:21 16
9 Carmarthen Town 12 4 3 5 24:26 15
10 Afan Lido 13 4 3 6 21:24 15
11 Caerphilly 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
12 Pontardawe 10 4 1 5 17:18 13
13 Newport City 10 3 3 4 19:15 12
14 Cardiff Draconians 10 3 3 4 14:17 12
15 Llantwit Major 11 3 2 6 12:24 11
16 Llanelli 13 0 2 11 9:40 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)