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Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd United

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions play Pontypridd United in the Cymru South 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ynyshir Albions averaged 1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Pontypridd United averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Ynyshir Albions won 1, Pontypridd United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.88 for Pontypridd United. This points to a Pontypridd United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ynyshir Albions
24%
Draws
46%
Pontypridd United
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ynyshir Albions picked up more points recently compared to Pontypridd United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Pontypridd United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd United
1:3
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Ynyshir Albions
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Haig J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pontypridd United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wynne E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stephens J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 29 / 100
Pontypridd United 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Pontypridd United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pontypridd United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ynyshir Albions attacking → ← attacking Pontypridd United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pontypridd United let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pontypridd United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 40
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810