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Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Facey D.
12' Event
Ferreira N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ynyshir Albions
35%
Draws
31%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Ynyshir Albions have won more games recently than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • Model gives Ynyshir Albions a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 17%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Facey D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Trethomas Bluebirds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 57 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trethomas Bluebirds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ynyshir Albions's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Trethomas Bluebirds
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)