Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 - 3

FC Tokyo

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Sato K.

Assist: Ryan Marcelo

46'

Sub

Kimura T. In: Sekitomi K.

Out: Kimura T.

49'

Muroya S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Tokyo in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tokyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Yokohama F. Marinos

Draws

FC Tokyo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Tokyo have won more games recently than Yokohama F. Marinos.
Model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
FC Tokyo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%

FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yokohama F. Marinos	FC Tokyo
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	17
Draws	2	4
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo

1:3

Mar 7, 2026 J1 League

FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos

3:0

Sep 28, 2025 J1 League

FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos

2:3

Jun 25, 2025 J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo

0:3

Sep 28, 2024 J1 League

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Tokyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ryan Marcelo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 95 / 100

FC Tokyo 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yokohama F. Marinos FC Tokyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Yokohama F. Marinos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Tokyo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS FC Tokyo

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)

19 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

3 : 1

Kumamoto

15 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

1 : 1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

06 Jun

Yokohama F. Marinos

3 : 0

Shimizu S-Pulse

31 May

Shimizu S-Pulse

1 : 1

Yokohama F. Marinos

24 May

Verdy

0 : 6

Yokohama F. Marinos

Page 1 of 6

FC Tokyo

(Away)

21 Jul

FC Tokyo

2 : 1

Nagoya Grampus

06 Jun

FC Tokyo

1 : 3

Cerezo Osaka

30 May

Cerezo Osaka

2 : 2

FC Tokyo

23 May

Kashima Antlers

1 : 0

FC Tokyo

16 May

Urawa Reds

0 : 1

FC Tokyo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo

Japan

Yokohama F. Marinos

FC Tokyo

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

FC Tokyo Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

FC Tokyo

League Standings (Group 1)

League Standings (Group 2)

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