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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Yokohama F. Marinos Logo

Yokohama F. Marinos

Sun, May 10, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Kashima Antlers Logo

Kashima Antlers

Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Morooka S. In: Hayashu H.
Out: Morooka S.
58' Event
Tanimura K.
Assist: Amano J.
67'
Sub
Matsumura Y. In: Cavric A.
Out: Matsumura Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashima Antlers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Yokohama F. Marinos
30%
Draws
27%
Kashima Antlers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Yokohama F. Marinos haven't matched Kashima Antlers's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kashima Antlers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima Antlers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 23
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
3:4
May 10, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
May 25, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ceara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 41 / 100
Kashima Antlers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima Antlers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Yokohama F. Marinos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kashima Antlers has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kashima Antlers
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
02 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Kyoto
Page 1 of 6

Kashima Antlers

(Away)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)