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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium
Sun, May 10, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Morooka S. In: Hayashu H.
Out: Morooka S.
58' Event
Tanimura K.
Assist: Amano J.
67'
Sub
Matsumura Y. In: Cavric A.
Out: Matsumura Y.

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashima Antlers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Yokohama F. Marinos
22%
Draws
18%
Kashima Antlers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Yokohama F. Marinos haven't matched Kashima Antlers's recent run of results.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima Antlers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
May 25, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
3:1
Jul 14, 2024 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ceara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 68 / 100
Kashima Antlers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima Antlers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Yokohama F. Marinos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Yokohama F. Marinos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kashima Antlers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kashima Antlers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121