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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Romanic L.
Assist: Ito T.
17'
Croux J.
45' Event
Amano J.
Assist: Watanabe K.

AI Match Summary

Yokohama F. Marinos play Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Kawasaki Frontale averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 2, Kawasaki Frontale won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.19 for Kawasaki Frontale. This points to a Kawasaki Frontale double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yokohama F. Marinos
6%
Draws
4%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kawasaki Frontale has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Yokohama F. Marinos.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Yokohama F. Marinos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in J1 League 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 20%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:5
Sep 13, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:3
Apr 9, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:3
Aug 17, 2024 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Amano J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 85 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kawasaki Frontale

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Kawasaki Frontale let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Yokohama F. Marinos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kawasaki Frontale lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kawasaki Frontale
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121