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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Fukunaga Y.
35' Event
Fukunaga Y.
46'
Sub
Sekitomi K. In: Suzuki T.
Out: Sekitomi K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Yokohama F. Marinos
15%
Draws
35%
Kyoto Sangyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Yokohama F. Marinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 14%
Kyoto Sangyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kyoto Sangyo
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.75 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Emperors Cup
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Croux J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kyoto Sangyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fukunaga Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 30 / 100
Kyoto Sangyo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kyoto Sangyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama F. Marinos found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Kyoto Sangyo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kyoto Sangyo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Kyoto Sangyo

(Away)
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2
Kyoto Sangyo
19 Aug
Kanazawa
1 : 4
Kyoto Sangyo
11 Jun
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
24 May
Kyoto Sangyo
3 : 1
Moriyama Samurai
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -