Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Quinones J.
55'
Sub
Miidera S. In: Suzuki T.
Out: Miidera S.
62'
Sub
Maceio In: Matsuda T.
Out: Maceio

AI Match Summary

The J1 League game between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kyoto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Yokohama F. Marinos
20%
Draws
28%
Kyoto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yokohama F. Marinos come out ahead of Kyoto on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 20%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kyoto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:3
May 17, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto
0:3
Sep 13, 2024 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 J1 League
Kyoto vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakano R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 58 / 100
Kyoto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kyoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama F. Marinos found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Kyoto has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Yokohama F. Marinos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kyoto
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Kyoto

(Away)
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 9 6 2 1 22:6 20
3 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
4 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 9 3 4 2 17:14 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 4 1 4 8:9 13
11 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
12 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
13 Mito 9 2 3 4 12:13 9
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Nagoya Grampus 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
16 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Chiba 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
20 Verdy 9 0 4 5 4:14 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)