Sport Picks
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Nissan Stadium, Yokohama 
Match Events
7'
7'
Tanaka Y.
15'
15'
Inoue T.
30'
30'
Sekitomi K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Yokohama F. Marinos haven't matched Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 15%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yokohama F. Marinos | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2026 J.League Cup
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4:3
Oct 25, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
6:2
Jun 19, 2024 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Nitta R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hirano K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare
Top Goalscorer Arai N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Araki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yokohama F. Marinos 31 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yokohama F. Marinos Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yokohama F. Marinos's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Yokohama F. Marinos VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Home) 28 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2 Verdy
17 Oct
Chiba
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
14 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2 Verdy
14 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
Page 1 of 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Away) 31 Oct
Mito
0 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
21 Oct
V-Varen Nagasaki
4 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
17 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Kyoto
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Mito
0 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
21 Oct
V-Varen Nagasaki
4 : 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gamba Osaka -
