Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Amano J.
40'
Sub
Araujo Y. In: Croux J.
Out: Araujo Y.
45'
Honda Y.

AI Match Summary

Yokohama F. Marinos in this J1 League 2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yokohama F. Marinos
6%
Draws
4%
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yokohama F. Marinos at 1.88 per game, Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Yokohama F. Marinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Shimizu S-Pulse, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Shimizu S-Pulse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:0
May 31, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:3
Apr 16, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
Jul 2, 2022 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Amano J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inoue T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Shimizu S-Pulse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 95 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Shimizu S-Pulse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Yokohama F. Marinos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1
Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Shimizu S-Pulse

(Away)
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
14 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
Cerezo Osaka5
FC Tokyo3
Nagoya Grampus3
Machida Zelvia4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kawasaki Frontale1
Gamba Osaka5
Verdy3
Okayama3
Urawa Reds1
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Kyoto3
Kashiwa Reysol6
V-Varen Nagasaki2
Mito0
Avispa Fukuoka4
Chiba3