Sport Picks
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Nissan Stadium, Yokohama 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the J.League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shimizu S-Pulse have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Yokohama F. Marinos have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.74. Head-to-head, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 3 to Shimizu S-Pulse's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Shimizu S-Pulse to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
15%
41%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Shimizu S-Pulse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Yokohama F. Marinos are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Shimizu S-Pulse arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Shimizu S-Pulse, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yokohama F. Marinos | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:0
May 31, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:3
Apr 16, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yokohama F. Marinos 36 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yokohama F. Marinos Shimizu S-Pulse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Shimizu S-Pulse let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Yokohama F. Marinos VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Home) 07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
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07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
02 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Kyoto
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Vissel Kobe
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Shimizu S-Pulse
(Away) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
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29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
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Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Gamba Osaka -
