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Yomraspor vs Derincespor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yomraspor play Derincespor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yomraspor averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Derincespor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Yomraspor won 0, Derincespor won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 6, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Yomraspor and 1.13 for Derincespor. This points to a Yomraspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Yomraspor
35%
Draws
26%
Derincespor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yomraspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Yomraspor picked up more points recently compared to Derincespor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Yomraspor Clean Sheet 21%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yomraspor Derincespor
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yomraspor vs Derincespor
1:2
Sep 25, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Yomraspor
0:0
Apr 17, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Yomraspor
3:0
Nov 29, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Yomraspor vs Derincespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yomraspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Colak E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekoglu U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ustun U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yomraspor 39 / 100
Derincespor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yomraspor Derincespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yomraspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yomraspor attacking → ← attacking Derincespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yomraspor scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Derincespor let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Yomraspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Derincespor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 21
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123