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Yongchuan Chashan W vs Liaoning W

China China

Super League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yongchuan Chashan W play Liaoning W in the Super League Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yongchuan Chashan W averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Liaoning W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Yongchuan Chashan W won 1, Liaoning W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Yongchuan Chashan W and 1.52 for Liaoning W. This points to a Liaoning W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Yongchuan Chashan W
25%
Draws
52%
Liaoning W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Liaoning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Yongchuan Chashan W picked up more points recently compared to Liaoning W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Yongchuan Chashan W Clean Sheet 15%
Liaoning W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yongchuan Chashan W Liaoning W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.7 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Super League Women
Yongchuan Chashan W vs Liaoning W
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League Women
Liaoning W vs Yongchuan Chashan W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yongchuan Chashan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Liaoning W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yongchuan Chashan W 24 / 100
Liaoning W 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yongchuan Chashan W Liaoning W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Liaoning W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yongchuan Chashan W attacking → ← attacking Liaoning W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yongchuan Chashan W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Liaoning W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Yongchuan Chashan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Liaoning W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 58
1.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Beijing Beikong W22125533:1841
2Liaoning W22117430:1740
3Jiangsu Suning W22117430:2040
4Shanghai RCB W22812233:1736
5Wuhan Jiangda W22113832:3136
6Shandong Sports Lottery W22105732:2535
7Changchun Dazhong W2297628:2234
8Guangdong Meizhou W2285929:2929
9Zhejiang W2267926:3325
10Shaanxi Changan W22371217:3416
11Yongchuan Chashan W22361314:3415
12Henan Songshan Longmen W22171418:4210