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York City vs Barnsley

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Olley G.
37' Event
McGeehan C.
42'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between York City and Barnsley finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
York City
39%
Draws
30%
Barnsley
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Barnsley on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
York City Clean Sheet 19%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Barnsley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
York City vs Barnsley
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Barnsley vs York City
3:2
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
York City vs Barnsley
2:2
Jul 10, 2018 Club Friendly
York City vs Barnsley
1:7
Nov 10, 2015 EFL Trophy
Barnsley vs York City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Olley G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pearce O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer McGeehan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 32 / 100
Barnsley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Barnsley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Barnsley let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Barnsley
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
18 Jul
York City
1 : 5
Sunderland
14 Jul
Pickering Town
4 : 2
York City
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1
Barnsley
25 Apr
Rochdale
1 : 1
York City
18 Apr
York City
3 : 0
Yeovil
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Barnsley

(Away)
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1
Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2
Barnsley
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3
Stockport County
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1
Barnsley
25 Apr
Luton
2 : 1
Barnsley
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