Sport Picks
York City vs Bristol Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two York Community Stadium, York 
Match Events
30'
30'
Mola C.
Assist: Cavegn F.
43'
43'
Sub
Akinyemi D. In: Newby A.
Out: Akinyemi D.
60'
60'
Newby A.
Assist: Grey J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between York City and Bristol Rovers finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: York City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- York City's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Bristol Rovers have produced (1.77).
- York City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
York City Clean Sheet 68%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | York City | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
York City vs Bristol Rovers
3:2
Apr 30, 2016 League Two
York City vs Bristol Rovers
1:4
Dec 12, 2015 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs York City
2:1
Jan 18, 2014 League Two
York City vs Bristol Rovers
0:0
Nov 19, 2013 FA Cup
York City vs Bristol Rovers
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Boyes H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Newby A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Mola C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
York City 77 / 100
Bristol Rovers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
York City Bristol Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
York City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Bristol Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.
Difficult form: Bristol Rovers registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
York City VS Bristol Rovers
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
York City
(Home) 26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
29 Aug
York City
2 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 4
Bristol Rovers
(Away) 06 Oct
Wycombe
4 : 1 Bristol Rovers
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1 Bristol Rovers
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Exeter
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Wycombe
4 : 1 Bristol Rovers
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1 Bristol Rovers
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 5 | York City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
