Sport Picks
York City vs Gillingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two York Community Stadium, York 
Match Events
2'
2'
Grey J.
Assist: Pearce O.
19'
19'
Sub
Goodwin W. In: Albarus Z.
Out: Goodwin W.
31'
31'
Sub
King E. In: McCleary G.
Out: King E.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between York City and Gillingham finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Gillingham on wins alone.
- Win probability leans York City's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
York City Clean Sheet 16%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | York City | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 League Two
York City vs Gillingham
3:0
Feb 12, 2013 League Two
York City vs Gillingham
0:0
Jan 26, 2013 League Two
Gillingham vs York City
1:1
Jan 16, 1999 League One
Gillingham vs York City
3:1
Aug 15, 1998 League One
York City vs Gillingham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Grey J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malcolm J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Gillingham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
York City 41 / 100
Gillingham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
York City Gillingham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Gillingham conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
York City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
York City VS Gillingham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
York City
(Home) 10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 4
Gillingham
(Away) 10 Oct
Rotherham
1 : 4 Gillingham
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Rotherham
1 : 4 Gillingham
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Gillingham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 5 | York City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
