Sport Picks
York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two York Community Stadium, York 
Match Events
10'
10'
O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
40'
40'
Powell J.
49'
49'
Boyes H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: York City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- York City have won more games recently than Northampton.
- York City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
York City Clean Sheet 20%
Northampton Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | York City | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1
Feb 23, 2016 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:2
Feb 6, 2016 League Two
Northampton vs York City
2:0
Feb 21, 2015 League Two
Northampton vs York City
3:0
Aug 16, 2014 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
York City 40 / 100
Northampton 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
York City Northampton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
York City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Northampton conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Away concern: Northampton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
York City VS Northampton
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
York City
(Home) 26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
29 Aug
York City
2 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 4
Northampton
(Away) 06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0 Northampton
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
