Sport Picks

York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup York Community Stadium, York

Northampton

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. York City have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Northampton's 0.82 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward York City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

York City

30%

Draws

41%

Northampton

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

York City carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
York City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

York City Clean Sheet 20%

Northampton Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	York City	Northampton
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.71	0.82
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 League Two

York City vs Northampton

1:1

Feb 23, 2016 League Two

York City vs Northampton

1:2

Feb 6, 2016 League Two

Northampton vs York City

2:0

Feb 21, 2015 League Two

Northampton vs York City

3:0

Aug 16, 2014 League Two

York City vs Northampton

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 36 / 100

Northampton 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

York City Northampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northampton Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Northampton

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)

31 Oct

Grimsby

5 : 2

York City

27 Oct

Barnet

3 : 1

York City

24 Oct

York City

2 : 0

Port Vale

20 Oct

York City

1 : 1

Accrington

17 Oct

Newport

1 : 1

York City

Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)

03 Nov

Northampton

0 : 1

Oldham

31 Oct

Accrington

1 : 1

Northampton

24 Oct

Northampton

2 : 0

Colchester

20 Oct

Northampton

0 : 1

Tranmere

17 Oct

Grimsby

0 : 2

Northampton

Page 1 of 6

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York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

York City

Northampton

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

York City

Northampton

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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