Sport Picks

York City vs Rotherham Prediction & H2H Stats

England

EFL Trophy York Community Stadium, York

York City

Tue, Sep 22, 2026

1 - 2

06:00 PM

Rotherham

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Sub

Otoo E. In: Hall D.

Out: Otoo E.

43'

Sub

Hunt J. In: Farrar B.

Out: Hunt J.

44'

Medley Z.

Assist: Read A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

York City

20%

Draws

46%

Rotherham

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Rotherham average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of York City's 1.9.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

York City Clean Sheet 15%

Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	York City	Rotherham
Matches Played	29	35
Wins	15	15
Draws	4	9
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.9	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

York City vs Rotherham

1:2

Aug 22, 2026 League Two

Rotherham vs York City

1:1

Oct 8, 2013 EFL Trophy

York City vs Rotherham

0:3

Feb 26, 2013 League Two

Rotherham vs York City

1:1

Oct 6, 2012 League Two

York City vs Rotherham

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Medley Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Buyabu J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 31 / 100

Rotherham 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

York City Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Rotherham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: York City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Rotherham

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)

26 Sept

York City

3 : 0

Gillingham

22 Sept

York City

1 : 2

Rotherham

19 Sept

Chesterfield

2 : 0

York City

15 Sept

York City

1 : 3

Newcastle Utd U21

12 Sept

York City

4 : 0

Swindon

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Rotherham

(Away)

26 Sept

Rotherham

1 : 1

Crewe

22 Sept

York City

1 : 2

Rotherham

19 Sept

Northampton

0 : 1

Rotherham

12 Sept

Rotherham

3 : 3

Salford

05 Sept

Bristol Rovers

1 : 0

Rotherham

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